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Red199
49847.3
172768.5
233866.3
Blue190
57353.0
198766.2
439166.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185186150160170180190200210220230199190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
#18
68.50.6
67.467.9
Auto16.6
Teleop42.0
End7.0
red by 1.8
4391
#11
66.70.3
66.266.6
Auto16.1
Teleop38.8
End8.3
Second
66.30.6
65.165.7
Auto14.3
Teleop41.4
End8.8
red by 0.1
1987
#12
66.20.3
66.566.9
Auto15.6
Teleop42.4
End7.2
Third
498
#40
47.30.6
46.246.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.9
End8.1
blue by 5.7
573
#6
53.00.3
52.652.9
Auto14.3
Teleop32.2
End6.1