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Red183
248159.9
745763.6
34162.2
Blue167
335763.7
468247.3
293063.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189177100150200250183167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7457
#20
63.60.0
63.263.2
Auto14.1
Teleop41.5
End7.2
blue by 0.1
63.70.0
63.763.7
Auto17.1
Teleop34.6
End10.0
Second
341
#28
62.20.0
61.961.9
Auto14.1
Teleop37.2
End8.8
blue by 1.3
2930
#13
63.60.0
63.663.6
Auto17.1
Teleop37.4
End7.8
Third
59.90.0
59.659.6
Auto15.7
Teleop35.2
End7.9
red by 12.7
4682
#64
47.30.0
47.347.3
Auto15.3
Teleop25.2
End6.7