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Red217
132382.8
409647.2
441468.5
Blue201
740766.6
204674.8
198653.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199192150250300217201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.80.6
81.582.1
Auto20.8
Teleop51.3
End9.3
red by 8.0
74.80.4
74.374.8
Auto18.3
Teleop42.8
End10.4
Second
4414
#17
68.50.6
67.267.8
Auto14.3
Teleop45.7
End7.9
red by 1.8
7407
#31
66.60.4
66.266.6
Auto17.7
Teleop38.9
End7.5
Third
4096
#23
47.20.6
45.946.5
Auto12.8
Teleop25.0
End8.3
blue by 6.7
1986
#10
53.80.4
53.453.8
Auto14.5
Teleop29.5
End8.7