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Qual 112023 Iowa Regional
Red132
432944.1
310238.0
409639.1
Blue110
178533.9
16741.5
392835.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109250150200132110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#4
44.12.1
39.4→41.5
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
red by 2.6
167
#12
41.51.7
32.0→33.7
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Second
4096
#13
39.12.1
33.2→35.3
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.9
red by 3.2
3928
#14
35.91.7
34.4→36.1
Auto13.0
Teleop15.4
End7.6
Third
3102
#28
38.02.1
28.5→30.6
Auto13.7
Teleop16.5
End7.6
red by 4.1
1785
#29
33.92.4
22.4→24.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned78%Activation oddsEarned