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Qual 122023 Iowa Regional
Red107
462434.6
284638.1
504126.5
Blue115
642452.0
873719.5
162546.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68110050100150107115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2846
#17
38.11.8
22.5→24.3
Auto13.8
Teleop16.7
End7.6
blue by 13.9
6424
#2
52.01.2
44.2→45.4
Auto12.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
Second
4624
#10
34.61.3
27.9→29.3
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
blue by 11.7
1625
#3
46.31.2
39.5→40.6
Auto12.7
Teleop25.5
End8.0
Third
5041
#48
26.51.8
18.4→20.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
red by 7.0
8737
#44
19.51.9
14.0→15.9
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
49%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned