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Qual 172023 Iowa Regional
Red112
327727.2
583732.7
464633.4
Blue58
673218.3
784830.3
876618.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77650204010012014016011258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#19
33.42.9
19.6→22.6
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
red by 3.1
7848
#11
30.31.4
22.4→21.0
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End7.0
Second
5837
#16
32.71.8
26.5→28.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End8.1
red by 14.0
8766
#26
18.72.4
19.0→16.6
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Third
3277
#54
27.22.0
24.4→26.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End7.7
red by 9.0
6732
#37
18.32.4
20.9→18.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed44%Activation oddsMissed