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Qual 182023 Iowa Regional
Red118
252631.4
295725.3
467422.8
Blue81
802423.7
96735.7
426017.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517202040608010012011881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#30
31.44.7
17.7→22.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End7.4
blue by 4.2
967
#32
35.71.1
31.6→32.7
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.9
Second
2957
#35
25.36.4
16.2→22.6
Auto7.9
Teleop10.0
End7.4
red by 1.6
8024
#34
23.71.8
16.6→18.4
Auto4.4
Teleop11.6
End7.7
Third
4674
#43
22.86.4
16.3→22.7
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End3.7
red by 5.0
4260
#52
17.81.8
16.4→18.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
41%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned