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Qual 192023 Iowa Regional
Red92
162546.3
704821.3
829812.6
Blue101
402117.2
754149.7
310238.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778320406010012014092101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#3
46.31.2
40.6→41.9
Auto12.7
Teleop25.5
End8.0
blue by 3.4
7541
#5
49.72.7
27.2→29.9
Auto12.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
Second
7048
#20
21.31.4
13.8→15.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
blue by 16.7
3102
#28
38.01.6
30.6→32.2
Auto13.7
Teleop16.5
End7.6
Third
8298
#47
12.62.1
18.9→20.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 4.6
4021
#49
17.22.7
19.2→21.8
Auto5.9
Teleop5.7
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned