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Red103
52547.1
204031.4
512528.8
Blue119
409639.1
641920.9
284638.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8990607080100110120103119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15Sur
47.10.6
38.739.3
Auto13.5
Teleop24.9
End8.7
red by 8.0
4096
#13
39.11.4
35.336.7
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Second
2040
#31
31.40.5
28.028.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End8.4
blue by 6.7
2846
#17
38.12.3
24.326.6
Auto13.8
Teleop16.7
End7.6
Third
28.80.5
18.819.3
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8
red by 7.9
6419
#41Sur
20.92.3
23.425.7
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
9%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned63%Activation oddsEarned