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Qual 222023 Iowa Regional
Red61
882416.8
178533.9
527511.9
Blue94
485931.1
873719.5
226447.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6483020401001201401606194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#29
33.92.0
24.7→22.7
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End7.7
blue by 13.9
2264
#1
47.81.0
38.7→39.7
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Second
8824
#38
16.82.0
18.0→16.0
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End4.4
blue by 14.3
4859
#27
31.11.5
20.5→22.1
Auto12.0
Teleop11.9
End7.2
Third
5275
#39
11.92.0
19.6→17.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End2.6
blue by 7.6
8737
#44
19.51.5
15.9→17.5
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed65%Activation oddsEarned