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Red57
591413.9
829812.6
432944.1
Blue45
802423.7
882120.2
327727.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions945801505745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.12.9
41.538.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
red by 16.8
3277
#54
27.20.9
26.425.4
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End7.7
Second
5914
#46
13.94.8
20.916.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End3.4
blue by 9.7
8024
#34
23.71.5
18.416.9
Auto4.4
Teleop11.6
End7.7
Third
8298
#47
12.64.8
20.916.1
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 7.7
8821
#50
20.21.5
13.912.4
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
70%Activation oddsMissed48%Activation oddsMissed