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Qual 292023 Iowa Regional
Red105
17124.3
284743.2
204031.4
Blue84
462434.6
673218.3
310238.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928605015020025010584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2847
#9
43.20.9
37.0→38.0
Auto14.2
Teleop22.0
End6.8
red by 5.2
3102
#28
38.00.2
32.2→32.4
Auto13.7
Teleop16.5
End7.6
Second
2040
#31
31.40.9
28.5→29.5
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End8.4
blue by 3.2
4624
#10
34.60.2
29.7→29.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Third
171
#25
24.31.6
20.4→21.9
Auto11.5
Teleop8.1
End4.7
red by 6.1
6732
#37
18.30.3
19.6→19.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsMissed