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Qual 302023 Iowa Regional
Red93
873719.5
641920.9
583732.7
Blue130
226447.8
284638.1
730919.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769005010015093130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5837
#16
32.71.3
29.8→31.2
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End8.1
blue by 15.1
2264
#1
47.82.0
39.7→41.7
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Second
6419
#41
20.92.2
25.7→27.9
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 17.2
2846
#17
38.13.4
26.6→30.0
Auto13.8
Teleop16.7
End7.6
Third
8737
#44
19.52.2
17.5→19.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
blue by 0.1
7309
#55
19.73.4
16.1→19.5
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
45%Activation oddsEarned58%Activation oddsEarned