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Red79
784830.3
882215.5
96735.7
Blue88
16741.5
704821.3
877024.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7679506070901001107988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#32
35.70.5
32.332.8
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 5.8
167
#12
41.50.9
35.536.4
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Second
7848
#11
30.30.5
22.122.6
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End7.0
red by 5.9
8770
#42
24.41.5
22.323.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.0
Third
8822
#53
15.50.8
17.318.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End6.0
blue by 5.8
7048
#20
21.30.9
16.317.2
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned51%Activation oddsMissed