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Qual 362023 Iowa Regional
Red59
178533.9
829812.6
908220.2
Blue95
591413.9
593525.9
642039.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5580020401001201405995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1785
#29
33.90.5
22.7→23.1
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End7.7
blue by 5.7
6420
#7
39.60.9
33.4→34.3
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
Second
9082
#21
20.20.3
16.1→16.4
Auto9.6
Teleop7.5
End3.1
blue by 5.7
5935
#23
25.91.4
22.7→24.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End8.0
Third
8298
#47
12.60.5
16.1→16.6
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
blue by 1.3
5914
#46
13.91.4
16.1→17.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
2%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned