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Qual 372023 Iowa Regional
Red107
802423.7
432944.1
485931.1
Blue92
512528.8
906117.8
500632.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions866305010015020010792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#4
44.12.0
38.6→40.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
red by 12.1
5006
#18
32.02.0
22.3→24.3
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End6.3
Second
4859
#27
31.13.3
22.1→25.3
Auto12.0
Teleop11.9
End7.2
red by 2.3
5125
#8
28.82.0
19.3→21.2
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8
Third
8024
#34
23.73.3
16.9→20.2
Auto4.4
Teleop11.6
End7.7
red by 5.9
9061
#45
17.83.3
20.7→24.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.3
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned