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Qual 382023 Iowa Regional
Red99
704821.3
642452.0
266721.0
Blue76
284743.2
753121.7
877024.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8685607080901001101209976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#2
52.01.3
48.1→49.4
Auto12.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
red by 8.7
2847
#9
43.20.3
38.0→37.7
Auto14.2
Teleop22.0
End6.8
Second
7048
#20
21.31.3
17.2→18.5
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
blue by 3.1
8770
#42
24.40.4
23.9→23.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.0
Third
2667
#36
21.01.3
14.6→15.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End5.3
blue by 0.8
7531
#56
21.70.4
18.1→17.7
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned41%Activation oddsMissed