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Qual 42023 Iowa Regional
Red113
909238.5
162546.3
876618.7
Blue96
409639.1
178533.9
17124.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7376020406010012014016011396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#3
46.32.5
37.0→39.5
Auto12.7
Teleop25.5
End8.0
red by 7.2
4096
#13
39.11.9
31.3→33.2
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Second
9092
#6
38.513.3
33.8→20.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End8.7
red by 4.5
1785
#29
33.92.8
19.5→22.4
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End7.7
Third
8766
#26
18.73.8
15.2→19.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 5.6
171
#25
24.32.8
19.8→22.6
Auto11.5
Teleop8.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
43%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned