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Qual 52023 Iowa Regional
Red69
16741.5
462434.6
882120.2
Blue51
226447.8
467422.8
266721.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7980506070901001106951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#12
41.50.6
32.5→32.0
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End6.0
blue by 6.4
2264
#1
47.82.5
39.2→36.8
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
Second
4624
#10
34.60.6
28.5→27.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
red by 11.8
4674
#43
22.83.1
19.4→16.3
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End3.7
Third
8821
#50
20.20.7
14.3→13.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End5.9
blue by 0.7
2667
#36
21.02.5
15.3→12.8
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned67%Activation oddsMissed