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Qual 62023 Iowa Regional
Red56
591413.9
504126.5
464633.4
Blue107
284743.2
621728.5
512528.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638305010015056107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#19
33.41.2
20.8→19.6
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 9.8
2847
#9
43.22.4
34.5→36.9
Auto14.2
Teleop22.0
End6.8
Second
5041
#48
26.51.2
19.6→18.4
Auto6.4
Teleop13.4
End6.7
blue by 2.3
5125
#8
28.82.0
15.8→17.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8
Third
5914
#46
13.91.2
21.4→20.2
Auto5.5
Teleop5.0
End3.4
blue by 14.6
6217
#33
28.52.4
24.9→27.3
Auto9.8
Teleop9.7
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
44%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned