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Qual 72023 Iowa Regional
Red70
642039.6
641920.9
645517.1
Blue81
305829.1
500632.0
784830.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75760501001507081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#7
39.60.0
32.6→32.5
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
red by 7.7
5006
#18
32.00.3
20.9→21.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End6.3
Second
6419
#41
20.90.1
21.0→21.0
Auto8.9
Teleop7.4
End4.7
blue by 9.4
7848
#11
30.30.3
22.1→22.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End7.0
Third
6455
#51
17.10.1
16.9→16.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
blue by 11.9
3058
#40
29.10.4
28.5→28.8
Auto10.5
Teleop10.5
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed10%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed29%Activation oddsMissed