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Red61
252631.4
204031.4
882416.8
Blue84
583732.7
829812.6
631727.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647102040801001201406184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2526
#30
31.40.0
17.717.7
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End7.4
blue by 1.3
5837
#16
32.71.3
25.126.5
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End8.1
Second
2040
#31
31.40.0
27.627.6
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End8.4
red by 4.1
6317
#22
27.31.3
23.925.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.4
End4.4
Third
8824
#38
16.80.0
15.615.6
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End4.4
red by 4.2
8298
#47
12.62.0
16.818.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsMissed32%Activation oddsEarned