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Red128
500632.0
284638.1
52547.1
Blue102
754149.7
178533.9
266721.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108250100150128102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15
47.11.9
41.243.1
Auto13.5
Teleop24.9
End8.7
blue by 2.6
49.71.8
37.839.7
Auto12.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
Second
2846
#17
38.13.2
32.936.1
Auto13.8
Teleop16.7
End7.6
red by 4.2
1785
#29
33.91.8
26.528.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End7.7
Third
5006
#18
32.01.9
25.327.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End6.3
red by 11.0
2667
#36
21.01.1
16.217.3
Auto6.6
Teleop9.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsEarned