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Qual 522023 Iowa Regional
Red107
753121.7
642039.6
467422.8
Blue132
392835.9
512528.8
432944.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111850100150200107132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6420
#7
39.61.9
36.1→38.0
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
blue by 4.5
4329
#4
44.11.8
42.4→44.2
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
Second
4674
#43
22.83.2
18.8→22.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End3.7
blue by 13.1
3928
#14
35.91.8
38.2→40.0
Auto13.0
Teleop15.4
End7.6
Third
7531
#56
21.73.2
18.0→21.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End5.2
blue by 7.1
5125
#8
28.81.8
24.3→26.1
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
28%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned