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Red75
882215.5
462434.6
327727.2
Blue85
631727.3
512528.8
593525.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions778540601001207585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#10
34.60.1
32.332.4
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
red by 5.7
28.80.4
28.128.5
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8
Second
3277
#54
27.20.1
25.625.7
Auto4.1
Teleop15.5
End7.7
blue by 0.1
6317
#22
27.30.4
26.326.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.4
End4.4
Third
8822
#53
15.50.1
15.816.0
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End6.0
blue by 10.4
5935
#23
25.90.6
24.625.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.0
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned