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Qual 702023 Iowa Regional
Red99
310238.0
802423.7
753121.7
Blue102
500632.0
882120.2
909238.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions858205010015099102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#28
38.01.0
34.6→35.5
Auto13.7
Teleop16.5
End7.6
blue by 0.4
9092
#6
38.52.6
31.9→34.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End8.7
Second
8024
#34
23.71.5
23.1→24.6
Auto4.4
Teleop11.6
End7.7
blue by 8.3
5006
#18
32.01.7
27.3→28.9
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End6.3
Third
7531
#56
21.71.5
22.1→23.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.0
End5.2
red by 1.5
8821
#50
20.22.6
18.0→20.6
Auto7.4
Teleop7.0
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
33%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsEarned