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Qual 822023 Iowa Regional
Red88
96735.7
305829.1
485931.1
Blue103
829812.6
409639.1
464633.4
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10282406012014016088103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#32
35.70.4
36.6→36.2
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.9
blue by 3.4
4096
#13
39.11.6
38.3→39.8
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Second
4859
#27
31.10.5
28.8→28.3
Auto12.0
Teleop11.9
End7.2
blue by 2.3
4646
#19
33.42.2
28.1→30.3
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Third
3058
#40
29.10.4
27.9→27.6
Auto10.5
Teleop10.5
End8.1
red by 16.5
8298
#47
12.62.4
13.4→15.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
78%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed