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Qual 832023 Iowa Regional
Red60
876618.7
467422.8
873719.5
Blue99
645517.1
877024.4
162546.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66912040801001201406099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#43
22.81.4
22.7→21.3
Auto8.3
Teleop10.9
End3.7
blue by 23.5
1625
#3
46.31.1
43.4→44.5
Auto12.7
Teleop25.5
End8.0
Second
8737
#44
19.51.4
21.1→19.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.7
End3.1
blue by 4.9
8770
#42
24.41.6
22.6→24.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End5.0
Third
8766
#26
18.71.4
20.9→19.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.4
End3.4
red by 1.6
6455
#51
17.11.7
16.2→17.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.2
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed41%Activation oddsEarned