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Red89
673218.3
642039.6
730919.7
Blue104
754149.7
882416.8
621728.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510120406012014016089104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.0
38.939.9
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
blue by 10.0
49.71.2
45.947.1
Auto12.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
Second
7309
#55
19.71.5
17.619.1
Auto7.5
Teleop7.4
End4.8
blue by 8.9
6217
#33
28.50.8
27.328.1
Auto9.8
Teleop9.7
End9.1
Third
6732
#37
18.31.5
16.918.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.6
End5.1
red by 1.5
8824
#38
16.81.2
18.519.7
Auto6.8
Teleop5.5
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
39%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned