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Red149
583732.7
162546.3
226447.8
Blue137
178533.9
642452.0
432944.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12913880100120160180200220149137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.6
46.947.5
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
blue by 4.1
52.00.2
51.451.6
Auto12.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
Second
46.30.6
45.345.9
Auto12.7
Teleop25.5
End8.0
red by 2.2
44.10.2
43.643.7
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
Third
5837
#16
32.70.6
31.832.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End8.1
blue by 1.2
1785
#29
33.90.2
33.333.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End7.7