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Red141
310238.0
284743.2
754149.7
Blue105
392835.9
642039.6
204031.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401116080100120160180200141105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.2
49.349.6
Auto12.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
red by 10.0
39.60.3
39.939.6
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
Second
43.20.2
43.043.2
Auto14.2
Teleop22.0
End6.8
red by 7.3
3928
#14
35.90.3
36.235.9
Auto13.0
Teleop15.4
End7.6
Third
3102
#28
38.00.2
37.838.0
Auto13.7
Teleop16.5
End7.6
red by 6.6
2040
#31
31.40.3
31.731.4
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End8.4