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Red124
909238.5
284638.1
52547.1
Blue116
500632.0
252631.4
462434.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359850150200124116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#15
47.10.0
46.646.6
Auto13.5
Teleop24.9
End8.7
red by 12.5
4624
#10
34.60.4
34.234.6
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
Second
38.50.1
37.837.9
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End8.7
red by 6.5
5006
#18
32.00.4
31.532.0
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End6.3
Third
2846
#17
38.10.1
37.537.5
Auto13.8
Teleop16.7
End7.6
red by 6.6
2526
#30
31.40.4
31.031.4
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End7.4