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Red141
432944.1
642452.0
178533.9
Blue140
754149.7
284743.2
310238.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135136110120130140150160170141140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.00.3
51.151.4
Auto12.6
Teleop33.0
End6.2
red by 2.3
49.70.4
49.049.3
Auto12.5
Teleop28.7
End8.2
Second
44.10.3
43.243.6
Auto13.5
Teleop21.1
End9.5
red by 0.9
43.20.3
42.743.0
Auto14.2
Teleop22.0
End6.8
Third
1785
#29
33.90.4
32.933.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End7.7
blue by 4.1
3102
#28
38.00.3
37.537.8
Auto13.7
Teleop16.5
End7.6