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Red149
583732.7
162546.3
226447.8
Blue128
52547.1
284638.1
909238.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130129100110120140150160170149128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.4
46.546.9
Auto12.6
Teleop25.6
End9.5
red by 0.7
525
#15
47.10.1
46.446.6
Auto13.5
Teleop24.9
End8.7
Second
46.30.4
44.945.3
Auto12.7
Teleop25.5
End8.0
red by 7.8
38.50.2
37.737.8
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End8.7
Third
5837
#16
32.70.4
31.431.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.3
End8.1
blue by 5.3
2846
#17
38.10.2
37.337.5
Auto13.8
Teleop16.7
End7.6