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Red121
462434.6
252631.4
500632.0
Blue111
409639.1
512528.8
16741.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99120406080140160180121111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4624
#10
34.60.5
33.734.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.1
End8.6
blue by 6.9
167
#12
41.50.1
41.541.5
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End6.0
Second
5006
#18
32.00.5
31.131.5
Auto9.6
Teleop16.1
End6.3
blue by 7.1
4096
#13
39.10.1
39.239.1
Auto11.8
Teleop19.0
End7.9
Third
2526
#30
31.40.5
30.531.0
Auto8.4
Teleop15.7
End7.4
red by 2.6
28.80.1
28.928.8
Auto7.2
Teleop15.9
End5.8