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Red95
704821.3
464633.4
784830.3
Blue126
392835.9
642039.6
204031.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871205010015095126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4646
#19
33.40.2
33.633.4
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End4.6
blue by 6.2
39.60.2
40.139.9
Auto8.0
Teleop23.5
End8.1
Second
7848
#11
30.30.2
30.530.3
Auto5.2
Teleop18.1
End7.0
blue by 5.6
3928
#14
35.90.2
36.436.2
Auto13.0
Teleop15.4
End7.6
Third
7048
#20
21.30.2
21.521.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.5
End4.9
blue by 10.1
2040
#31
31.40.2
31.931.7
Auto9.9
Teleop13.2
End8.4