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Red138
189137.5
11456.4
212250.5
Blue164
603670.1
417523.8
364755.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147154050100200250300138164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#3
56.40.0
56.156.1
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End7.1
blue by 13.7
70.10.5
69.670.0
Auto17.1
Teleop44.7
End7.6
Second
50.50.0
50.150.1
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End8.8
blue by 5.3
55.70.5
55.255.7
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
Third
1891
#23
37.50.0
37.237.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
red by 13.7
4175
#38
23.80.5
23.323.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8