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Red166
189137.5
11456.4
212250.5
Blue159
603670.1
417523.8
364755.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions145153100200250166159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#3
56.40.6
55.556.1
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End7.1
blue by 13.7
70.10.4
69.269.6
Auto17.1
Teleop44.7
End7.6
Second
50.50.6
49.550.1
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End8.8
blue by 5.3
55.70.4
54.855.2
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
Third
1891
#23
37.50.6
36.637.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
red by 13.7
4175
#38
23.80.4
22.923.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8