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Red111
459827.6
11548.9
321637.4
Blue159
603670.1
417523.8
364755.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11715550100200111159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#7
48.90.2
49.148.9
Auto13.3
Teleop28.5
End7.0
blue by 21.2
70.10.4
68.869.2
Auto17.1
Teleop44.7
End7.6
Second
3216
#13
37.40.2
37.637.4
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End7.7
blue by 18.3
55.70.4
54.454.8
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
Third
4598
#27
27.60.2
27.827.6
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End5.9
red by 3.8
4175
#38
23.80.4
22.522.9
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8