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Red70
854625.7
300616.5
635822.4
Blue62
328822.1
763422.3
543020.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495601001507062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8546
#10
25.71.5
16.417.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End8.5
red by 3.4
7634
#25
22.30.1
21.020.9
Auto6.5
Teleop8.5
End7.2
Second
6358
#21
22.41.5
14.716.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End8.5
red by 0.3
3288
#24
22.10.1
21.020.9
Auto8.5
Teleop7.2
End6.5
Third
3006
#35
16.52.6
15.918.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End3.4
blue by 3.8
5430
#18
20.30.1
9.99.8
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned24%Activation oddsEarned