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Red107
881444.0
546134.6
641123.2
Blue102
855020.6
839.9
156934.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6981050100150200107102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.03.9
18.522.4
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End6.7
red by 4.0
8
#11
39.91.8
33.935.7
Auto11.7
Teleop21.5
End6.7
Second
5461
#14
34.62.6
26.128.7
Auto10.6
Teleop16.9
End7.0
blue by 0.1
1569
#17
34.71.8
23.925.7
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.4
Third
6411
#15
23.22.4
22.124.5
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End5.0
red by 2.6
8550
#32
20.63.0
16.819.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned