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Qual 162023 Idaho Regional
Red101
741921.8
156626.2
321637.4
Blue57
35625.7
459827.6
170030.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705302040608010012010157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#13
37.42.8
29.8→32.6
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End7.7
red by 6.7
1700
#12
30.70.4
12.6→13.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.9
End5.4
Second
1566
#20
26.24.2
16.0→20.1
Auto9.8
Teleop9.8
End6.5
blue by 1.5
4598
#27
27.60.3
21.5→21.8
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End5.9
Third
7419
#22
21.82.5
17.5→20.1
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End5.9
red by 16.1
3562
#48
5.70.5
18.1→18.6
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
14%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned14%Activation oddsMissed