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Red98
325622.7
213030.1
636432.8
Blue60
417523.8
304523.9
931415.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727340506080901009860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.3
24.624.3
Auto7.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 8.9
3045
#34DQ
23.90.5
22.021.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End4.9
Second
2130
#30
30.10.4
21.320.9
Auto11.1
Teleop13.8
End5.2
red by 6.3
4175
#38
23.80.5
27.226.7
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8
Third
3256
#39
22.70.3
21.921.6
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End2.1
red by 7.1
9314
#36
15.60.9
18.417.6
Auto2.0
Teleop8.4
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
24%Activation oddsMissed47%Activation oddsMissed