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Qual 252023 Idaho Regional
Red116
855117.3
854625.7
364755.7
Blue82
385932.8
259414.1
417523.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9366020408010012014016011682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#4
55.71.2
51.1→52.3
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
red by 22.9
3859
#16
32.81.1
27.7→28.8
Auto11.1
Teleop12.9
End8.7
Second
8546
#10
25.71.2
18.8→19.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End8.5
red by 1.9
4175
#38
23.81.1
26.7→27.8
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8
Third
8551
#43
17.31.9
13.8→15.7
Auto6.3
Teleop3.4
End7.6
red by 3.1
2594
#46
14.11.1
10.6→11.8
Auto6.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
60%Activation oddsMissed53%Activation oddsEarned