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Red81
213030.1
543020.3
189137.5
Blue115
156934.7
212250.5
327532.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65107020408012014016081115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#23
37.50.6
33.734.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
blue by 12.9
50.51.3
41.843.1
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End8.8
Second
2130
#30
30.11.1
20.922.0
Auto11.1
Teleop13.8
End5.2
blue by 4.6
1569
#17
34.71.3
26.828.1
Auto8.6
Teleop16.8
End9.4
Third
5430
#18
20.30.6
11.912.5
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End5.1
blue by 12.3
3275
#19
32.61.3
26.527.9
Auto10.3
Teleop16.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
39%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned