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Red96
881444.0
548022.0
459827.6
Blue118
300616.5
170030.7
11456.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6984020406010012014016096118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.03.3
25.929.2
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End6.7
blue by 12.5
114
#3
56.42.7
46.148.8
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End7.1
Second
4598
#27
27.62.0
22.524.5
Auto7.7
Teleop13.9
End5.9
blue by 3.1
1700
#12
30.72.7
15.718.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.9
End5.4
Third
5480
#26
22.03.3
18.021.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End4.2
red by 5.5
3006
#35
16.54.5
15.319.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed21%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
41%Activation oddsMissed35%Activation oddsEarned