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Red131
259414.1
603670.1
546134.6
Blue63
189137.5
417523.8
548022.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178840608010014016018013163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.11.7
62.964.6
Auto17.1
Teleop44.7
End7.6
red by 32.6
1891
#23
37.51.5
33.732.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.2
End6.0
Second
5461
#14
34.61.7
30.632.3
Auto10.6
Teleop16.9
End7.0
red by 10.7
4175
#38
23.81.5
29.928.3
Auto8.0
Teleop10.4
End4.8
Third
2594
#46
14.11.7
12.314.0
Auto6.8
Teleop4.1
End3.2
blue by 7.9
5480
#26
22.02.6
22.519.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
56%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
72%Activation oddsEarned65%Activation oddsMissed