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Qual 432023 Idaho Regional
Red83
587116.6
741921.8
170030.7
Blue131
636432.8
763422.3
801134.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6082204010012014083131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#12
30.71.6
20.5→22.1
Auto6.4
Teleop18.9
End5.4
blue by 4.2
8011
#8
34.95.7
23.7→29.4
Auto9.4
Teleop18.2
End7.3
Second
7419
#22
21.81.6
21.0→22.6
Auto8.7
Teleop7.2
End5.9
blue by 11.0
6364
#9
32.83.4
28.2→31.6
Auto7.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Third
5871
#45
16.62.7
17.4→20.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.1
End4.2
blue by 5.7
7634
#25
22.33.4
22.6→26.1
Auto6.5
Teleop8.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
35%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned