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Qual 452023 Idaho Regional
Red136
327532.6
11456.4
924322.3
Blue130
364755.7
855020.6
789527.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061028090110120130140136130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#3
56.41.5
49.8→51.3
Auto14.4
Teleop34.4
End7.1
red by 0.7
3647
#4
55.71.9
53.6→55.5
Auto13.5
Teleop34.0
End7.5
Second
3275
#19
32.61.5
29.6→31.0
Auto10.3
Teleop16.8
End5.6
red by 5.4
7895
#28
27.21.9
21.3→23.3
Auto6.3
Teleop14.2
End6.7
Third
9243
#33
22.32.4
19.7→22.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.7
End9.1
red by 1.7
8550
#32
20.63.2
21.4→24.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsMissed23%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned