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Qual 462023 Idaho Regional
Red118
854625.7
213030.1
212250.5
Blue87
324522.4
156626.2
881444.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947202040608012014016011887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
50.51.9
42.5→44.4
Auto13.2
Teleop28.0
End8.8
red by 6.5
8814
#6
44.01.9
30.7→32.5
Auto13.2
Teleop24.0
End6.7
Second
2130
#30
30.13.1
22.0→25.1
Auto11.1
Teleop13.8
End5.2
red by 3.9
1566
#20
26.21.9
19.8→21.6
Auto9.8
Teleop9.8
End6.5
Third
8546
#10
25.71.9
20.7→22.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End8.5
red by 3.3
3245
#42
22.41.1
19.9→21.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
8%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsEarned31%Activation oddsMissed